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Podcast: Establish the Edge Fantasy Football
Episode: Eliminating Noise and Using Patience to Win DFS Tournaments
Description: Mike Leone goes solo this week, waxing philosophically over how we can apply Daniel Kahneman's new book, Noise, to NFL DFS. Mike outlines:-why simple models beat human beings at prediction-the danger of the "illusion of validity"-how human judgement improves the information we feed the Establish the Run projections-why we should trust those projections and not be variable or too active in tweaking our judgements on particular cases-in other words: try to treat decisions based on player ceiling, projected value and field exposure, and correlation - no on how...